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India’s 2025-26 coffee output forecast at 6 million bags amid weather woes: USDA

May 4, 2025
in Economic
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India’s 2025-26 coffee output forecast at 6 million bags amid weather woes: USDA
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Farmers around the world have been receiving some good news lately as farmgate prices for arabica and robusta coffee have seen a significant increase. According to recent reports, arabica prices have spiked by 64% while robusta prices have also gone up by 24% since October. This sudden surge in prices has been attributed to global supply issues and reduced projected output.

The increase in farmgate prices is a much-needed relief for coffee farmers who have been struggling with low prices for the past few years. It is important to note that the prices of both arabica and robusta have been on a downward trend since 2017 due to oversupply in the market. However, the recent rise in prices has brought a glimmer of hope to coffee farmers and the industry as a whole.

One of the main reasons for the spike in prices is the decrease in projected output for both arabica and robusta. This is due to weather-related issues in major coffee-producing countries such as Brazil, Vietnam, and Colombia. Brazil, the world’s largest producer of arabica coffee, has been hit by a severe drought which has significantly reduced their coffee production. Similarly, Vietnam, the world’s largest producer of robusta coffee, has been facing unfavorable weather conditions resulting in a decrease in their coffee output.

As a result of these supply issues, the global coffee market has seen a shortage of high-quality arabica and robusta beans. This has led to an increase in demand for these beans, driving up their prices. In addition, the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has also played a role in the rise in prices as people around the world are turning to coffee as a source of comfort and energy during these difficult times.

The increase in farmgate prices is not only beneficial for coffee farmers but also for the entire coffee industry. It provides a lifeline to farmers who have been struggling to make ends meet due to low prices. With higher prices, farmers can now invest in better farming practices and equipment, leading to improved quality of coffee beans. This, in turn, will attract more buyers and increase the value of coffee in the market.

Moreover, the rise in prices will also have a positive impact on the economies of coffee-producing countries. Coffee is one of the top export commodities for many countries, and the increase in prices will result in a boost to their economy. It will also create more job opportunities for people involved in the coffee industry, from farmers to processors to exporters.

The recent surge in coffee prices is also a reminder of the importance of sustainable coffee production. With climate change and other environmental factors affecting coffee production, it is crucial for coffee farmers to adopt sustainable farming practices to ensure the long-term viability of the industry. This will not only help in maintaining a consistent supply of coffee but also contribute to the preservation of the environment.

In conclusion, the recent increase in farmgate prices of arabica and robusta coffee is a welcome development for coffee farmers and the industry as a whole. It is a testament to the resilience of coffee farmers who have been facing numerous challenges in recent years. Let us hope that this positive trend continues and brings prosperity to the coffee industry, from farmers to consumers.

Tags: Prime Plus
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