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GDP growth may surpass 7% to cross $4 trillion in FY26: CEA

November 29, 2025
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GDP growth may surpass 7% to cross $4 trillion in FY26: CEA
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The Indian economy has been on a steady growth trajectory in the past few years, and the latest data for the second quarter of the current fiscal year is proof of that. According to the recent report released by the Central Statistics Office, the Indian economy has grown by an impressive 8.2% in the second quarter of the current fiscal year, which is a six-quarter high. This is higher than the 7.1% growth seen in the previous quarter and has surpassed the expectations of many experts. This robust growth rate can be attributed to the various measures taken by the government to boost the economy, including the recent Goods and Services Tax (GST) rate cuts.

One of the key factors that have contributed to this significant growth is the increased factory production in anticipation of a consumption boost from the GST rate cut. The government’s decision to reduce GST rates on several goods and services has provided the much-needed impetus to the manufacturing sector. This move has not only led to higher factory production but has also bolstered consumer sentiment, encouraging them to spend more. As a result, the manufacturing sector grew at an impressive rate of 13.5% in the second quarter, which is a significant improvement from the 5.4% growth seen in the previous quarter.

The GST rate cuts have also played a crucial role in offsetting the deceleration in farm output. The agriculture sector, which is the backbone of the Indian economy, witnessed a slower growth rate of 3.8% in the second quarter as compared to the 5.3% growth seen in the previous quarter. This can be attributed to the uneven monsoon and floods in some parts of the country. However, the GST rate cuts have provided a much-needed boost to the rural economy by making essential goods and services more affordable for the common man.

The government’s efforts to revive the economy have also been supported by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). In its recent monetary policy review, the RBI maintained a neutral stance while keeping the repo rate unchanged. This move is expected to keep inflation under control while providing the necessary liquidity for businesses to flourish. Additionally, the central bank has also taken steps to ease the liquidity crisis faced by the non-banking financial companies (NBFCs), which plays a critical role in providing credit to small and medium-sized businesses.

The growth rate witnessed in the second quarter of the current fiscal year is a clear indication that the Indian economy is moving in the right direction. It has been a result of a combination of factors such as the government’s reforms and policies, the RBI’s supportive stance, and the resilience of the Indian economy. The sustained growth rate of the Indian economy in the past few years indicates that it is well on its way to becoming a global economic powerhouse.

The increase in factory production and consumption indicators such as automobile sales, air passenger traffic, and railway freight traffic are all positive signs of a growing economy. The recent World Bank report also expects India’s economy to grow at a rate of 7.3% in the current fiscal year and 7.5% in the next fiscal year, making it the fastest-growing major economy in the world. This growth projection is further proof that the Indian economy is on a rise, and the various measures taken by the government have yielded positive results.

Moreover, the growth rate witnessed in the second quarter is also a reflection of the confidence and trust that investors have in the Indian economy. The recent influx of foreign direct investment (FDI) in various sectors, including manufacturing and services, has been a major boost to the economy. This, coupled with the government’s ambitious ‘Make in India’ initiative, is expected to drive the growth of the manufacturing sector and create job opportunities for the youth.

In conclusion, the Indian economy’s growth rate of 8.2% in the second quarter of the current fiscal year is undoubtedly a cause for celebration. It reflects the government’s commitment towards economic reforms and its efforts to boost the economy. The GST rate cuts have played a crucial role in reviving the economy and have provided a much-needed stimulus for businesses and consumers alike. With the government’s continued focus on structural reforms and the RBI’s supportive stance, the Indian economy is set to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years. This growth rate is a testament to the strength, resilience, and potential of the Indian economy, and we can only hope that it continues on this path of progress and prosperity.

Tags: Prime Plus
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